Saturday, February 1, 2025

Gitmo for Migrants: Trump’s Solution, Con, Pipedream, or Gaffe for Illegals in U.S.

Migrant home after tents & logistics arrive
(Trump's latest order) 

Trump's new deportation plan from POLITICO

It is a wild pipedream scheme that lacks details yet will be doggone expensive:

“Pentagon shocked by Trump’s order to house migrants in Guantanamo Bay”

Defense officials are trying to figure out how to hold thousands of people on an aging military base with minimal staff.

The effort to hold such a large number of people on the 45 square-mile naval base, which the U.S. has leased since 1903, would prove a much greater logistical lift than what the military has. 

Trump’s plan to use Gitmo to detain migrants thrusts the Pentagon into a challenging, costly new effort just as officials vow to refocus the military on its core mission.

Trump’s recent EO came as a shock to the Pentagon. Officials are now rushing to come up with a plan to house up to 30,000 people, far more than the 780 detainees who stayed in a detention camp on the base during the peak of the war on terror.

DOD officials are discussing using tents, although they face the challenges of: (1) Tropical weather; (2) Limited Staff; (3) Access to medical treatments for migrants; and (4) How to balance resources and finances with another Trump EO that ordered troops to the southern border to enhance security.

One DOD official, granted anonymity to discuss a rapidly evolving issue said:Things are moving as we speak.” 

That official, like others, was caught flatfooted by Trump’s announcement and had no details about what the precise orders would be, when the detainees would arrive, or what their housing might look like.

The effort to hold such a large number of people on the 45 square-mile naval base, which the U.S. has leased since 1903, would prove a much greater logistical lift than what the military has handled before. 

Only 15 detainees remain at the base’s detention facility after the Biden administration transferred nearly a dozen people from Guantanamo to Oman in an effort to reduce the inmate population.

The new detainees would not stay in the same area where terrorism suspects have been kept but more likely housed in tents on the sprawling Naval base. 

This would broadly resemble what the military did in the 1990s when former President Clinton moved the processing of Haitian refugees to the base and ordered thousands of Cuban asylum seekers held there. That mission had a clearly defined timeline. This one has no end in sight.

Trump’s EO directs his administration to provide additional detention space for high-profile criminal aliens.  

His plans for Gitmo would greatly expand the country’s detention capacity, which has been strained since before Trump took office. ICE has the detention capacity for about 40,000 people. The nation’s largest ICE facilities have roughly 2,000 beds, much smaller than the major undertaking Trump has proposed for Gitmo. Tom Homan, Trump’s border czar, said that ICE would run an expanded facility at Gitmo. 

It’s still not clear what specific role the military would play, even though active-duty troops have historically been the guards there. 

The base’s original detention facilities were designed for the Coast Guard to bring in migrants they pick up at sea. 

A small group of people, mostly Haitian and Cuban refugees, are currently housed at the Migrant Operations Center there now.

DOD & DHS could stand up a “reasonable tent city” at Guantanamo within 10 days to two weeks, said the former senior administration official who also had anonymity to talk about the logistical challenges.

Providing sanitation, food, drinkable water, and medical care for tens of thousands of migrants could take months. 

Those supplies would need to arrive by air or sea, and the Trump administration would have to swell the American presence on the base to include a migrant camp with law enforcement officers, military police, doctors, nurses, and even teachers, and janitors. 

Plus, the total cost for this would quickly skyrocket into tens of millions, if not hundreds of millions, of dollars said the same former senior official, adding: “Guantanamo can look like the easy button to press, but it brings with it a whole bundle of problems.”

Pentagon spokesperson Chris Sherwood said: “It’s still too early to know what the overall price tag for expanded operations at the southern border and Guantanamo might be.”

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, in a video posted to the Pentagon’s social media channels, said that he’d spoken to other top defense leaders about “ongoing” planning and he added: “We’re leaning forward on supporting the president’s directive to make sure that we have a location for violent criminal illegals as they are deported out of the country.”

The announcement sparked anger among immigration and human rights advocates, who viewed it as a further attempt to demonize migrants by conflating them with terror suspects and it spurred concerns from immigration lawyers and legal experts who questioned whether the plan would be feasible.

Debra Schneider, immigration attorney who went to Guantanamo to visit with a client nearly 15 years ago said:I can’t imagine how detained immigrants would have access to counsel, funds to pay for attorneys to travel there, lodging, and ease of access to computers to communicate. The idea of 30,000 would be logistically impossible to have the means for an equal number of attorneys for representation.”

She further said:It’s intended to isolate from legal representation, from oversight, from transparency, from any capacity to provide representation or to even see the conditions to which people are being subjected.

Others have expressed concerns about the conditions within the detention facilities used on terror suspects — and the lack of oversight like Tom Jawetz, a senior lawyer in the HSD during the Biden administration said:The plan could also run into legal challenges. Taking migrants who are already in the U.S. waiting for immigration court hearings would be unprecedented, and I just don’t know how that’s legal.”

Jawetz, now a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress further said:Trump could also run into hurdles if he intends to use the facility to detain people who have been ordered to leave the U.S. but who cannot be returned to their home country.”

The U.S. Supreme Court has long recognized — and it’s been the standing position of the U.S. government — that Guantanamo is within the sovereign territory of Cuba. 

So, if Trump were to send Venezuelan nationals who the U.S. has ordered removed to Venezuela, for example, immigration law would require him to get the permission of the Cuban government.

Trump referred to that saying about countries that won’t take back their criminal migrants: We may increase the 30,000 figure and that the new facilities would be up pretty quickly.”

My 2 Cents: Trump has lost all his senses of logic and rationality and this issue proves that. Where he goes now is anyone’s guess. 

He has no plan. But, he’s said before in the past about replacing the ACA that he “…has a concept of a plan.” Oops!!! 

That’s not a plan not at all. Stay tuned. 

This really a big deal even for Trump to conquer.

 

 


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